Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
AUT
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 2
BOT
13%
24%
63%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAM
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 2
SOU
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 1
SPC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
5 - 1
GLO
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |