Paraibano . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOT
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
AUT
1 - 5
BOT
22%
25%
54%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
BOT
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BOT
5 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
BOT
20%
25%
56%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
3 - 1
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSP
0 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |