Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CSP
2 - 1
BOT
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
AUT
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 3
BOT
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
9 - 2
CRI
81%
13%
7%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
6 - 1
SOU
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
FOR
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |