Botafogo PB vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
5 - 0
ECP
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 2
BOT
15%
19%
67%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 0
DPB
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOT
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 2
ATL
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CAM
2 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SOU
0 - 3
TRE
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SOU
4 - 2
ECP
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
SOU
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |