Botafogo PB vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 3
BOT
9%
18%
73%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 0
BOT
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPC
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
15 - 0
SPB
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
5 - 0
ASS
85%
12%
3%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
34%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |