Botafogo ES vs Aracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
5 - 1
BOT
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
REA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
BOT
39%
24%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 3
ARA
36%
25%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
RIO
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ARA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
SAO
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |