Boston River vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 2
BOS
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 1
BOS
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 2
BOS
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BOS
2 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEN
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CSM
1 - 1
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |