U21 EC Qualifying Grupo G. Jor. 1

Bosnia U21 vs Spain U21 analysis

Bosnia U21 Spain U21
51 ELO 83
3.8% Tilt -3.5%
3249º General ELO ranking 138º
19º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
13.8%
Bosnia U21
22.2%
Draw
64%
Spain U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
Bosnia U21
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
64%
Win probability
Spain U21
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bosnia U21
-24%
+2%
Spain U21

ELO progression

Bosnia U21
Spain U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bosnia U21
Bosnia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2003
BIH
Bosnia U21
0 - 3
Denmark U21
DNK
23%
22%
55%
52 66 14 0
09 Sep. 2003
LUX
Luxembourg U21
0 - 1
Bosnia U21
BIH
34%
23%
43%
52 25 27 0
05 Sep. 2003
BIH
Bosnia U21
1 - 3
Norway U21
NOR
20%
21%
60%
53 69 16 -1
06 Jun. 2003
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 1
Bosnia U21
BIH
69%
19%
12%
51 65 14 +2
01 Apr. 2003
DNK
Denmark U21
3 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
77%
14%
8%
52 64 12 -1

Matches

Spain U21
Spain U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2004
ESP
Spain U21
3 - 1
Scotland U21
SCT
80%
14%
6%
83 62 21 0
17 Aug. 2004
FRA
France U21
1 - 1
Spain U21
ESP
43%
28%
29%
83 80 3 0
30 Mar. 2004
ESP
Spain U21
3 - 0
Denmark U21
DNK
77%
15%
8%
82 67 15 +1
17 Feb. 2004
ESP
Spain U21
2 - 1
Norway U21
NOR
73%
16%
10%
82 68 14 0
19 Nov. 2003
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 1
Sweden U21
SWE
74%
16%
9%
82 70 12 0
X