Bundesliga Round 16

B. Mönchengladbach vs Bayern München analysis

B. Mönchengladbach Bayern München
90 ELO 100
-5.5% Tilt 24.5%
55º General ELO ranking
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
4.7%
B. Mönchengladbach
10.1%
Draw
85.2%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
B. Mönchengladbach
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
85.2%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.3%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
B. Mönchengladbach
-3%
-1%
Bayern München

Points and table prediction

B. Mönchengladbach
Their league position
Bayern München
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
15º
10º
82
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
82
82
100%
B. Leverkusen
68
68
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
60
60
100%
B. Dortmund
57
57
100%
SC Freiburg
55
55
100%
Mainz 05
54
54
100%
RB Leipzig
51
51
0%
Werder Bremen
51
51
0%
Stuttgart
50
50
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Wolfsburg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
FC Augsburg
12º
43
43
12º
0%
Union Berlin
13º
40
40
13º
100%
FC St Pauli
14º
32
32
14º
0%
Hoffenheim
15º
32
32
15º
0%
Heidenheim
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Holstein Kiel
17º
25
25
17º
100%
VfL Bochum
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
B. Mönchengladbach
Bayern München
Champion
0% 100%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

B. Mönchengladbach
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

B. Mönchengladbach
B. Mönchengladbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
2 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
63%
21%
16%
90 84 6 0
21 Dec. 2024
HOF
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
34%
23%
43%
90 88 2 0
14 Dec. 2024
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
4 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
62%
21%
17%
90 82 8 0
07 Dec. 2024
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
15%
20%
66%
90 96 6 0
30 Nov. 2024
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
47%
23%
30%
90 91 1 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2025
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 6
Bayern München
BYM
3%
8%
89%
100 81 19 0
20 Dec. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
5 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
64%
20%
16%
99 97 2 +1
14 Dec. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
4%
10%
86%
100 90 10 -1
10 Dec. 2024
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 - 5
Bayern München
BYM
3%
6%
91%
99 85 14 +1
07 Dec. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
4 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
85%
11%
4%
99 86 13 0