Borussia Freialdenhoven vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
8º
15º
10º
52
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 2
BFR
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 2
VFL
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 1
BFR
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 2
SPV
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 5
BFR
46%
23%
30%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BER
5 - 0
BGP
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 1
BER
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FVE
0 - 1
BER
7%
14%
80%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 6
KOL
5%
12%
83%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | +1 |