B. Dortmund vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
BVB
15%
19%
66%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCU
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BJK
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
70%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 4
BVB
23%
21%
56%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
HOF
61%
20%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 5
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 1
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |