B. Dortmund vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 0
WOL
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BYM
0 - 3
BVB
72%
17%
12%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 0
RMA
16%
20%
64%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BVB
2 - 1
WOL
66%
19%
15%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 0
BVB
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
M05
3 - 0
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
EIN
2 - 0
M05
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
M05
3 - 0
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
EBT
3 - 1
M05
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
M05
0 - 2
BYM
6%
14%
80%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | 0 |