B. Dortmund vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
3 - 0
BRU
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 5
BVB
12%
17%
71%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
2 - 3
BYM
11%
15%
75%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 3
BVB
24%
22%
55%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 3
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ZEN
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
LAZ
15%
23%
62%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
1 - 1
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
ZEN
1 - 1
LAZ
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |