B. Dortmund vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SGF
1 - 3
BVB
8%
15%
78%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BVB
3 - 4
RTV
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 3
DYN
67%
18%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
69%
17%
14%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BVB
6 - 1
WOL
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
M05
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
0 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
FCU
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |