B. Dortmund vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
BVB
7 - 2
ODD
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ING
0 - 4
BVB
12%
18%
70%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ODD
3 - 4
BVB
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BVB
4 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 2
BVB
8%
16%
77%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AUG
0 - 1
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AKB
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |