B. Dortmund vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
S04
1 - 0
BVB
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
BVB
1 - 5
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
BVB
3 - 1
EIN
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
KOL
2 - 1
BVB
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
BVB
1 - 1
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
F95
1 - 0
EIN
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 2
F95
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
F95
0 - 0
HSV
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
MSV
0 - 0
F95
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
F95
2 - 0
HAN
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |