B. Dortmund vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ARB
1 - 3
BVB
7%
14%
80%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVB
33%
22%
45%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 1
M05
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
0 - 3
PAD
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 1
AUG
80%
14%
7%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ING
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ING
1 - 1
HOL
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 7
ING
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
S04
3 - 0
ING
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ING
1 - 2
F95
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |