B. Dortmund vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BVB
4 - 0
LEV
60%
20%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
COT
0 - 5
BVB
7%
16%
77%
|
90 | 53 | 37 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
FCU
3 - 1
BVB
8%
15%
76%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
KOL
1 - 3
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BVB
5 - 1
AUG
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FCB
5 - 2
VCF
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
OSA
2 - 2
FCB
7%
16%
76%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FCB
5 - 2
BET
86%
10%
4%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ATH
1 - 0
FCB
13%
20%
68%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NAP
0 - 4
FCB
28%
24%
48%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |