B. Dortmund II vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BOR
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 4
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
S04
0 - 4
BOR
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
IDA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 7
BOR
29%
23%
47%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 3
S04
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IDA
2 - 1
MAI
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 0
WIE
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
EIN
0 - 3
MAI
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 3
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |