Borac Banja Luka vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
8º
1º
21
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 58 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
86.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
98% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Borac Banja Luka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
BBL
5 - 0
SLO
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BBL
4 - 1
IGM
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 0
BBL
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 2
AUS
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 0
BBL
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
5 - 3
ZBE
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SLO
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 0
ZBE
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 4
IGM
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
5 - 0
ZBE
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |