Sergipano 2 Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Boquinhense vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boquinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BOQ
1 - 0
EST
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
INS
0 - 0
BOQ
36%
22%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BOQ
0 - 0
OSE
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SDJ
0 - 1
BOQ
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
BOQ
0 - 0
SDJ
48%
22%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SOC
0 - 1
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SOC
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 4
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
ADB
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ADB
1 - 2
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |