Carioca 1 Primera Ronda. Jor. 2

Bonsucesso vs Portuguesa RJ analysis

Bonsucesso Portuguesa RJ
43 ELO 47
-8.4% Tilt -13.2%
23043º General ELO ranking 1739º
598º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
36.9%
Bonsucesso
25.7%
Draw
37.4%
Portuguesa RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
Bonsucesso
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.4%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bonsucesso
-2%
+14%
Portuguesa RJ

ELO progression

Bonsucesso
Portuguesa RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bonsucesso
Bonsucesso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2017
CAM
Campos
1 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
47%
25%
28%
44 46 2 0
16 Apr. 2016
BON
Bonsucesso
2 - 1
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
48%
26%
26%
43 42 1 +1
10 Apr. 2016
CAB
Cabofriense
2 - 0
Bonsucesso
BON
46%
26%
28%
44 43 1 -1
03 Apr. 2016
BON
Bonsucesso
6 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
31%
27%
42%
42 47 5 +2
31 Mar. 2016
AME
América RJ
1 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
65%
21%
14%
41 47 6 +1

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2017
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
41%
27%
33%
46 47 1 0
22 Oct. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
4 - 3
Friburguense
FRI
31%
27%
43%
45 48 3 +1
16 Oct. 2016
FRI
Friburguense
3 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
49%
25%
26%
46 48 2 -1
12 Oct. 2016
ITA
Itaborai
3 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
38%
25%
38%
47 46 1 -1
08 Oct. 2016
POR
Portuguesa RJ
4 - 0
Itaborai
ITA
32%
26%
42%
46 47 1 +1
X