Bonsucesso vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
BON
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BON
2 - 1
TIG
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 0
BON
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BON
6 - 1
FRI
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +3 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
AME
1 - 1
BON
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
NOV
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
POR
4 - 3
FRI
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
3 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
POR
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
ITA
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |