Carioca 1 First Round Round 4

Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense analysis

Bonsucesso Cabofriense
45 ELO 54
-10.9% Tilt -12.1%
8230º General ELO ranking 6098º
335º Country ELO ranking 230º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Bonsucesso
24.1%
Draw
51.5%
Cabofriense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
Bonsucesso
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.5%
Win probability
Cabofriense
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Bonsucesso
Cabofriense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bonsucesso
Bonsucesso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2018
RES
Resende
2 - 4
Bonsucesso
BON
60%
23%
17%
44 49 5 0
27 Dec. 2017
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 1
Macaé Esporte
MAC
33%
26%
42%
45 50 5 -1
21 Dec. 2017
AME
América RJ
0 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
63%
21%
15%
44 49 5 +1
11 Mar. 2017
BON
Bonsucesso
0 - 0
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
56%
24%
20%
44 38 6 0
04 Mar. 2017
CAM
Campos
1 - 1
Bonsucesso
BON
53%
24%
24%
44 48 4 0

Matches

Cabofriense
Cabofriense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2018
CAB
Cabofriense
1 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
50%
24%
26%
53 50 3 0
28 Dec. 2017
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
25%
25%
51%
53 46 7 0
20 Dec. 2017
CAB
Cabofriense
3 - 0
Resende
RES
53%
24%
23%
52 49 3 +1
11 Mar. 2017
CAB
Cabofriense
4 - 1
Campos
CAM
53%
23%
24%
52 48 4 0
04 Mar. 2017
CAB
Cabofriense
3 - 1
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
69%
20%
12%
51 39 12 +1