Bonsucesso vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CEC
1 - 0
BON
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
BON
0 - 0
RDJ
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
BON
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
BON
0 - 2
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 2
BON
18%
19%
63%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 4
GOY
18%
25%
58%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 2
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
TIG
20%
25%
54%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ADB
3 - 1
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 0
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |