Carioca 2 Round 1

Bonsucesso vs Artsul FC analysis

Bonsucesso Artsul FC
42 ELO 39
0.5% Tilt 3.1%
8193º General ELO ranking 6739º
335º Country ELO ranking 267º
ELO win probability
54.2%
Bonsucesso
23.1%
Draw
22.7%
Artsul FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
Bonsucesso
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.7%
Win probability
Artsul FC
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bonsucesso
+5%
-21%
Artsul FC

ELO progression

Bonsucesso
Artsul FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bonsucesso
Bonsucesso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2010
BON
Bonsucesso
3 - 0
Artsul FC
AFC
48%
24%
27%
40 41 1 0
09 May. 2010
ANG
Angra dos Reis
1 - 8
Bonsucesso
BON
32%
24%
44%
39 27 12 +1
05 May. 2010
BON
Bonsucesso
1 - 0
Céres
CER
49%
23%
28%
38 38 0 +1
01 May. 2010
BON
Bonsucesso
1 - 0
Profute FC
PFC
52%
23%
26%
37 38 1 +1
21 Apr. 2010
BON
Bonsucesso
2 - 1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
44%
24%
32%
36 40 4 +1

Matches

Artsul FC
Artsul FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2010
BON
Bonsucesso
3 - 0
Artsul FC
AFC
48%
24%
27%
41 40 1 0
08 May. 2010
AFC
Artsul FC
3 - 1
Céres
CER
47%
24%
29%
41 38 3 0
05 May. 2010
SEC
Sendas EC
3 - 0
Artsul FC
AFC
62%
20%
17%
42 46 4 -1
01 May. 2010
AFC
Artsul FC
1 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
31%
25%
44%
40 47 7 +2
24 Apr. 2010
ITA
Itaperuna
0 - 2
Artsul FC
AFC
43%
24%
32%
39 35 4 +1