Bombarralense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bombarralense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BOM
2 - 1
LOU
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
UNM
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MAF
1 - 1
UNM
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UNM
2 - 0
ALC
79%
14%
6%
|
63 | 17 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
UNM
0 - 0
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +10 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
UNM
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |