Bolton Wanderers vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 2
BOL
76%
15%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 1
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
2 - 3
BOL
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 0
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
LEE
0 - 2
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 0
OPA
64%
22%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 0
SOU
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
CHL
24%
27%
49%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |