Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
LEI
4 - 1
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1962 |
BUR
2 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
FUL
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1962 |
BOL
2 - 2
BUR
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
SHW
1 - 1
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 0
BIR
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1962 |
MUD
0 - 1
EVE
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1962 |
ARS
1 - 3
MUD
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1962 |
EVE
3 - 1
MUD
61%
19%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 2
WBA
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |