Bolton Wanderers vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
WHU
1 - 2
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
NTT
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
SHE
4 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
3 - 0
WOL
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1962 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1962 |
BUR
0 - 0
MAC
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
MAC
3 - 2
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1962 |
BIR
2 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
MAC
2 - 0
LEY
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |