Bologna Sub 19 vs Padova Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ABL
1 - 2
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 2
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 1
CES
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 3
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 1
VIC
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Padova Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
VIC
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAD
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 1
ABL
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 1
PAD
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |