Bologna vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CRO
0 - 2
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 0
PES
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
BOL
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 1
PRG
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 2
BOL
35%
29%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
BRE
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PES
1 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
CRO
39%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
TER
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |