Bologna vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
2 - 2
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 1
BOL
38%
33%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 1
COM
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
PIS
1 - 0
BOL
42%
31%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PIS
47%
28%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAM
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 0
ARZ
47%
29%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CAV
49%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |