Bolívar vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 0
RPO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BLO
2 - 0
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BOL
4 - 1
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
USF
2 - 4
UNI
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
COB
3 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 0
SWA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |