Bolívar vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.1
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
0.2%
+1
2.9%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
27.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.1%
0
30.8%
66.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
32.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0%
-1
34.8%
0-2
19.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
0.2%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
STR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NOB
1 - 0
BOL
94%
4%
2%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOB
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1988 |
OLI
4 - 2
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1988 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
DAN
4 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
SLO
1 - 0
PEÑ
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SLO
55%
27%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |