Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
4 - 2
BOL
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOL
30%
24%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BOL
5 - 1
DES
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +4 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
STR
0 - 1
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 0
ROY
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
OPE
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 3
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
OPE
1 - 0
DES
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |