Bolívar vs Mariscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
JWI
1 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 1
CIP
67%
19%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 1
BOL
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 1
STR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 2
BLO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MBB
2 - 0
SAC
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
MBB
0 - 3
JWI
48%
24%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BLO
2 - 1
MBB
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
MBB
1 - 1
CIP
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
IBE
2 - 2
MBB
52%
23%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |