Bolívar vs Real Oruro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+113%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
3º
21
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 44 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 26 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 21 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 19 |
15º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
89% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana qualifying phase
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 2
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 4
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BOL
5 - 1
UDV
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 3
BOL
37%
24%
39%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 1
STR
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oruro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
REO
3 - 0
ACA
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
ACA
0 - 2
REO
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
REO
3 - 0
ROY
6%
11%
83%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | +3 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ROY
4 - 0
REO
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 0
REO
33%
22%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -3 |