Bogotá vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
1 - 3
TFC
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
BOG
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BJC
1 - 3
BOG
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BOG
3 - 0
ORS
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 1
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
BJC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ORS
3 - 2
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |