Bogotá vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
LLA
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
0 - 1
BOG
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 0
CUC
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BOG
2 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFC
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AME
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SFC
1 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |