Bognor Regis Town vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 2
BOG
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MER
2 - 2
BOG
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
LEW
0 - 1
BOG
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOG
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ENF
2 - 0
BOG
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LEW
2 - 1
HAR
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LEW
1 - 2
KIN
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ENF
1 - 1
LEW
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEW
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
LEW
0 - 1
BOG
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |