Bognor Regis Town vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WHI
3 - 2
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
4 - 1
BOG
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BOG
2 - 0
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOG
3 - 1
HAY
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POT
1 - 1
BOG
19%
20%
62%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BEA
1 - 2
GOS
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
TIV
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
GOS
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
DOR
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
SAL
48%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |