Bognor Regis Town vs Chippenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WIN
3 - 0
BOG
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BOG
2 - 1
THU
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BOG
5 - 1
ENF
58%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 4
WEY
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
WEY
2 - 2
BOG
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chippenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 9
STO
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
CHE
66%
19%
14%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
CHE
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BID
4 - 1
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
4 - 1
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |