Bogliasco vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogliasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LAS
0 - 2
BOG
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 0
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 2
BOG
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 3
SAN
36%
25%
38%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 2
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
BOR
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
VER
1 - 2
NOV
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
LAS
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |