Bogen vs Unterföhring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 1
BOG
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 3
BOG
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 2
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
SON
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Unterföhring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
UNT
3 - 2
LAN
63%
19%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 2
UNT
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
UNT
0 - 4
HEI
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SON
0 - 2
UNT
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 3
UNT
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |