Bogen vs TSV Neuried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ERL
1 - 1
BOG
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
EKA
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WAS
3 - 1
BOG
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
3 - 1
DEI
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 0
FCT
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Neuried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 2
ASD
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCM
3 - 1
TSV
36%
22%
43%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 1
VFB
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DEI
6 - 1
TSV
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TSV
1 - 2
TPF
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |