Bogen vs Rain / Lech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KIR
1 - 0
BOG
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 1
DAC
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PUL
1 - 1
BOG
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 3
UNT
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 1
BOG
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 3
LAN
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 0
RAI
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
RAI
3 - 0
HEI
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SON
2 - 2
RAI
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 2
VIL
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |