Bogad vs Paksi SE II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bogad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SZE
5 - 1
BOG
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 2
NAG
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 2
BOG
64%
20%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 2
BOL
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 5
BVO
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Paksi SE II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAK
2 - 0
KAS
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SFK
0 - 4
PAK
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PAK
5 - 2
KOM
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
POG
0 - 4
PAK
24%
22%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PAK
2 - 2
SZE
79%
13%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |