2. Liga Round 4

VfL Bochum vs FC St Pauli analysis

VfL Bochum FC St Pauli
74 ELO 73
8.2% Tilt -7.4%
178º General ELO ranking 91º
21º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
52.5%
VfL Bochum
24.1%
Draw
23.4%
FC St Pauli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
+5%
-1%
FC St Pauli

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
FC St Pauli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2011
ROS
Hansa Rostock
0 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
37%
28%
35%
75 68 7 0
30 Jul. 2011
ROS
Hansa Rostock
2 - 2
VfL Bochum
BOC
37%
27%
37%
75 68 7 0
22 Jul. 2011
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 0
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
72%
18%
10%
75 62 13 0
18 Jul. 2011
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
42%
28%
30%
75 73 2 0
06 Jul. 2011
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
64%
20%
16%
76 68 8 -1

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2011
STP
FC St Pauli
3 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
57%
23%
21%
72 68 4 0
30 Jul. 2011
EIN
Eintracht Trier
2 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
16%
21%
63%
73 52 21 -1
25 Jul. 2011
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
56%
23%
21%
73 79 6 0
16 Jul. 2011
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Ingolstadt 04
ING
60%
22%
18%
72 67 5 +1
14 May. 2011
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
FC St Pauli
STP
61%
23%
16%
73 83 10 -1