Bundesliga Round 31

VfL Bochum vs Union Berlin analysis

VfL Bochum Union Berlin
87 ELO 92
2% Tilt 17.9%
179º General ELO ranking 58º
21º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
30.1%
VfL Bochum
26%
Draw
43.9%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.9%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
+4%
-1%
Union Berlin

Points and table prediction

VfL Bochum
Their league position
Union Berlin
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
18º
18º
40
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
82
82
100%
B. Leverkusen
68
68
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
60
60
100%
B. Dortmund
57
57
100%
SC Freiburg
55
55
100%
Mainz 05
54
54
100%
RB Leipzig
51
51
0%
Werder Bremen
51
51
0%
Stuttgart
50
50
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Wolfsburg
11º
43
43
11º
0%
FC Augsburg
12º
43
43
12º
0%
Union Berlin
13º
40
40
13º
100%
FC St Pauli
14º
32
32
14º
0%
Hoffenheim
15º
32
32
15º
0%
Heidenheim
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Holstein Kiel
17º
25
25
17º
100%
VfL Bochum
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfL Bochum
Union Berlin
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
55%
23%
23%
87 91 4 0
12 Apr. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
32%
25%
44%
87 90 3 0
05 Apr. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
0 - 4
Stuttgart
STU
15%
20%
65%
87 95 8 0
28 Mar. 2025
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
VfL Bochum
BOC
78%
15%
7%
87 100 13 0
20 Mar. 2025
BOC
VfL Bochum
4 - 2
Preußen Münster
PRE
61%
20%
19%
87 78 9 0

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
FCU
Union Berlin
4 - 4
Stuttgart
STU
21%
23%
56%
92 95 3 0
12 Apr. 2025
LEV
B. Leverkusen
0 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
76%
16%
8%
91 100 9 +1
06 Apr. 2025
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
30%
26%
44%
91 93 2 0
30 Mar. 2025
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
55%
24%
21%
91 93 2 0
15 Mar. 2025
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
5%
11%
85%
90 100 10 +1