Bundesliga Round 29

VfL Bochum vs Köln analysis

VfL Bochum Köln
78 ELO 85
11.8% Tilt 5.5%
179º General ELO ranking 98º
21º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
36.9%
VfL Bochum
24%
Draw
39.1%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
VfL Bochum
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.1%
Win probability
Köln
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfL Bochum
+4%
-2%
Köln

ELO progression

VfL Bochum
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 1976
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 0
VfL Bochum
BOC
66%
19%
15%
77 78 1 0
10 Apr. 1976
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
51%
23%
26%
77 80 3 0
02 Apr. 1976
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 4
Schalke 04
S04
45%
25%
30%
78 83 5 -1
27 Mar. 1976
HSV
Hamburger SV
5 - 3
VfL Bochum
BOC
69%
19%
13%
78 86 8 0
20 Mar. 1976
BOC
VfL Bochum
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
39%
24%
38%
78 83 5 0

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 1976
KOL
Köln
4 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
65%
19%
16%
85 82 3 0
10 Apr. 1976
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
2 - 3
Köln
KOL
44%
23%
33%
85 78 7 0
03 Apr. 1976
KOL
Köln
2 - 5
Bayern München
BYM
50%
23%
28%
85 88 3 0
27 Mar. 1976
KOL
Köln
4 - 0
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
81%
13%
6%
85 68 17 0
20 Mar. 1976
MSV
MSV Duisburg
0 - 4
Köln
KOL
39%
25%
37%
85 80 5 0